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Governance & assurance

Who speaks for the future in a major project?

How major-project governance can represent future generations and natural systems through defined challenge, measurement and review.

By Jim Parke |

A new road, energy network or water scheme can shape a place for generations. Its approval meeting, however, is filled with people who live and hold office now. The people who will inherit the asset decades later cannot attend. A river or habitat affected by it cannot make a submission. If their interests depend on someone remembering to mention them, they may receive less attention than a present cost, deadline or political promise.

That is a governance problem for major programmes. Consultation can reveal the views of people who can participate today, but it cannot by itself represent future residents or ecological systems. Leaders need a way to give those interests standing in the decision, test the claims made on their behalf and revisit the decision as evidence changes.

Identify who is missing from the room

A stakeholder map usually begins with people and organisations that can affect or be affected by a programme: funders, users, communities, regulators, operators and suppliers. That is a necessary starting point. It also favours those who can organise, speak and impose an immediate cost on the project if ignored.

Future generations cannot negotiate over a construction footprint or vote on a current budget. Nature is not a single interest with a spokesperson who can declare a compromise acceptable. People alive today can speak about the environment they know, but their interests do not perfectly stand in for the condition of a river, species or landscape fifty years from now.

The sponsor should therefore name the missing interests explicitly. What natural systems does the programme depend on or alter? Which effects may persist beyond the life of the delivery organisation? Who will bear the maintenance, adaptation and restoration costs? What assumptions are we making about the needs of those who will live with the outcome?

These questions do not imply that every present need must yield to an imagined future one. They make the trade-off visible so that today's decision-makers can explain it.

Give those interests a role in the decision

Representation does not require pretending that anyone can know exactly what future people would choose. It requires an accountable process for considering their interests. A sponsor could assign a person or panel the role of challenging long-term impacts at each major approval point. That role needs access to the evidence, time to respond and a recorded answer to its objections. It should be independent enough to ask whether the programme has shifted a cost into the future merely because that is easier to approve today.

The role should be specific. A reviewer might test whether the appraisal includes operation, renewal and eventual decommissioning; whether environmental baselines are credible; and whether a proposed mitigation measure has funding and an owner after construction. Its questions should inform the decision rather than become a ceremonial signature.

Wales offers a real example of giving future interests a standing voice. Its Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015 established a Future Generations Commissioner to act as a guardian of those interests and support public bodies in pursuing long-term well-being goals. The Commissioner can advise public bodies and review how they meet their duties. That statutory office has a broader remit than a single programme's challenge role, but demonstrates a practical choice: name who is to speak for the long term and give that person functions beyond attending a meeting.

Representation also has limits. One advocate may prioritise biodiversity while another emphasises the future cost of an unreliable service. Those interests can conflict. The sponsor remains responsible for deciding between them, showing the basis for the choice and recording what uncertainty remains.

Measure what matters after the ribbon cutting

An asset may open on time while the conditions around it deteriorate. If the business case promises cleaner water, more resilient services or restored habitat, the programme needs a baseline, a credible method of measurement and a named owner of the result. Measures should run for long enough to reveal delayed effects, rather than end when the construction contract closes.

The familiar language of a financial, social and environmental triple bottom line can help put more than cost on the agenda. In 2018 its originator, John Elkington, issued what he called a “recall”, arguing that the concept had become a way of balancing trade-offs rather than changing practice. Three headings in a report are not, by themselves, a decision rule. Leaders still have to decide what a loss in one area means for a gain in another and whether a proposed gain can credibly be delivered.

Accounting scholar Paolo Quattrone has gone further, proposing a Value Added Statement for Nature that recognises nature in an organisation's account of how value is distributed. His proposal asks human stakeholders to give voice to non-human actors, or at least acknowledge that those actors lack a voice. A public programme need not adopt that statement to learn from the idea: what is absent from the account can become absent from the decision. Reporting should expose the effect on natural systems and the continuing obligations created by the project, not reduce both to a reassuring label.

Some effects cannot be translated into a reliable dollar amount. That is a reason to describe them carefully, set limits where appropriate and compare alternatives openly. It is not a reason to leave them out.

Build in review, not just prediction

A long programme will encounter new evidence. Conditions change; ecological responses may not follow the forecast; the needs of future users may become clearer. A credible decision can be revised without pretending that its original authors could have known everything.

Organisation scholars Fabrizio Ferraro, Dror Etzion and Joel Gehman describe participatory architecture and distributed experimentation as strategies for tackling grand challenges. In a major programme, that might mean testing a restoration method before extending it, monitoring results with local expertise and setting an explicit point at which an ineffective approach must be changed. It can also mean preserving an alternative rather than committing irreversibly before the evidence warrants it.

The sponsor should ask at each review: What did we promise? What have we observed? What effects are emerging outside the original measures? Who can recommend a change, and who has the authority and budget to make it? Without that last step, monitoring becomes a record of deterioration rather than a means of preventing it.

Monitoring data, funding and the authority to respond must pass to the permanent operator. A delivery team may be temporary; the environmental and social effects will not be. A handover that transfers the asset but loses those means of acting leaves the future unrepresented precisely when its interests become most concrete.

The empty seats at the approval meeting cannot be filled literally. But their absence can be recognised in the structure of the decision: through a defined challenge role, an account of long-term costs and effects, measurable commitments, and the power to change course. That is how a major programme can take responsibility for people and places that will live with its consequences long after today's sponsor has moved on.


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